Mustafalafel
0x8c0b637b43ccbd2069b0f789b8439777fdb4f0fb
- Realised P&L
- $10.1k
- Volume
- $2.72M
- Markets traded
- 323
- Open portfolio
- $19.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded323
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.239U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$2.2kat 0.067US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$1.8kat 0.074Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
- +$1.7kat 0.660Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $98.40 |
| 08-02 22:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $195.90 |
| 08-02 22:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.7487634666 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 18:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.7k |
| 08-02 18:05 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.589 | $294.50 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.2k |
| 08-02 12:39 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $118.80 |
| 08-02 11:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.37 | $726.69 |
| 08-02 11:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.84 |
| 08-01 22:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $94.60 |
| 08-01 18:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7690909091 | $25.38 |
| 08-01 18:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.715 | $23.59 |
| 08-01 17:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $18.40 |
| 08-01 17:08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $132.06 |
| 08-01 13:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7548341926 | $1.3k |