PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

meagainsttheworld

0x9592adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b8

Realised P&L
$69.3k
Volume
$10.36M
Markets traded
861
Open portfolio
$95.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded861
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2070.205$51.3k$560.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.8970.998$7.0k+$703.16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.3010.275$5.5k$519.03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.4870.550$5.0k+$578.45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3470.345$3.1k$23.45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0610.021$3.0k$5.5k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.1910.125$2.2k$1.2k
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0530.100$1.6k+$747.47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1270.211$1.6k+$620.01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0640.204$1.4k+$929.09
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0840.251$1.3k+$865.94
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.3380.325$975.16$38.02
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2460.205$922.59$183.51
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0340.021$914.08$527.99
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0820.065$795.14$204.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.52$520.00
08-02 22:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.2696840021$510.78
08-02 22:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.56$347.24
08-02 21:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.58$126.44
08-02 21:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$3.20
08-02 21:50Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.284030303$28.12
08-02 21:46Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2699999995$340.00
08-02 21:46Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$109.00
08-02 21:46Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.28477926$142.39
08-02 21:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.28$742.35
08-02 21:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.017002998$85.01
08-02 21:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.42$258.67
08-02 21:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2132599087$12.00
08-02 21:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.20584753$205.85
08-02 21:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.3$375.00