PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ImJustKen

0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344

Realised P&L
$3.28M
Volume
$493.65M
Markets traded
9,764
Open portfolio
$755.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,764
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7370.795$124.7k+$9.1k
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.4720.885$46.5k+$21.7k
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1100.887$45.3k+$39.7k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.4490.550$41.3k+$7.6k
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9010.925$38.4k+$1.0k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0490.810$36.4k+$34.2k
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.8050.967$29.0k+$4.8k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4540.710$25.6k+$9.2k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0380.049$14.4k+$3.0k
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3420.325$13.2k$697.47
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No0.3250.366$10.2k+$1.2k
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6600.675$10.1k+$225.00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.6650.825$10.0k+$1.9k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1820.207$9.5k+$1.2k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0350.146$9.0k+$6.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.45$22.50
08-02 02:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4587849063$6.0k
08-02 02:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4715733793$6.1k
08-02 02:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4596602441$24.5k
08-02 01:20Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.69$1.2k
08-02 01:20Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6865998936$4.2k
08-02 00:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.87$87.00
08-02 00:37Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?BUY0.35$908.69
08-02 00:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.14$12.03
08-02 00:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.56$223.96
08-02 00:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.6$1.2k
08-01 23:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.1940492184$569.39
08-01 23:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.77$377.09
08-01 23:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.75$9.0k
08-01 21:19Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?BUY0.9055661653$835.69