PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Porx

0xa0bca9bdd8540da95060ed1fafb78aa03835d428

Realised P&L
$103.8k
Volume
$8.31M
Markets traded
2,383
Open portfolio
$34.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,383
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.915$2.7k+$45.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8540.935$2.4k+$205.91
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9580.960$1.9k+$4.05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7780.795$1.5k+$32.22
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4180.390$1.5k$109.39
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8350.848$1.3k+$18.90
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No0.8420.865$1.2k+$31.91
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · No0.9100.931$1.2k+$26.83
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.455$1.1k$155.98
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · No0.4710.720$1.1k+$375.66
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9610.960$1.0k$1.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3690.445$934.51+$159.86
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9200.915$915.01$5.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6040.635$889.00+$43.10
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? · No0.9780.990$680.78+$8.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:21Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1124130968$69.70
08-02 22:33Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.8508988683$530.07
08-02 22:03Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.43$86.00
08-02 22:01WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 3?SELL0.03$6.00
08-02 22:00NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?BUY0.2827292576$20.72
08-02 21:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.58$6.83
08-02 21:17Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$920.00
08-02 20:32Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?BUY0.0044677269$1.73
08-02 20:30Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.0229606914$71.88
08-02 20:30Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?SELL0.13$52.00
08-02 16:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.88$18.29
08-02 14:42Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.96$384.00
08-02 14:34Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.64$128.00
08-02 14:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.4$64.66
08-02 11:32US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.57$171.01