Porx
0xa0bca9bdd8540da95060ed1fafb78aa03835d428
- Realised P&L
- $103.8k
- Volume
- $8.31M
- Markets traded
- 2,383
- Open portfolio
- $34.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,383
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.028Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$4.1kat 0.176JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$4.0kat 0.362Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$3.2kat 0.631Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$2.9kat 0.142Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:21 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1124130968 | $69.70 |
| 08-02 22:33 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.8508988683 | $530.07 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 08-02 22:01 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.03 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 22:00 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.2827292576 | $20.72 |
| 08-02 21:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $6.83 |
| 08-02 21:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $920.00 |
| 08-02 20:32 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | BUY | 0.0044677269 | $1.73 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.0229606914 | $71.88 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $52.00 |
| 08-02 16:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $18.29 |
| 08-02 14:42 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $384.00 |
| 08-02 14:34 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 08-02 14:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $64.66 |
| 08-02 11:32 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.57 | $171.01 |