PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Zbinik

0xa9f3f91cb907a7c3b4b2f2a8719ad68a71284bce

Realised P&L
$-46.0k
Volume
$788.9k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$37.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8900.945$18.0k+$1.0k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$10.0k+$493.82
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · No0.7890.905$6.6k+$842.52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9190.915$1.6k$6.86
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.6020.460$881.26$271.49
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0200.018$142.79$15.87
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0110.006$16.18$11.20
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.5130.000$0.00$5.0k
Clippers vs. 76ers · Clippers0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
TikTok sale announced by October 31? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00$40.50
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? · No0.6600.000$0.00$26.40
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) · Cavaliers0.6000.000$0.00$756.96
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.3100.000$0.00$62.00
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic · Djokovic0.5360.000$0.00$2.0k
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? · No0.3400.000$0.00$384.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 08:31England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.54$974.92
07-13 13:09Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.02$158.66
07-13 13:07Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.011$1.06
07-13 13:07Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.011$18.70
07-12 06:04Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.93$6.2k
07-12 04:47Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayBUY0.88$839.49
07-10 10:03UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.68$5.0k
06-27 09:16Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$558.54
06-27 09:06Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayBUY0.85$747.95
06-27 09:02Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$9.0k
06-27 05:33Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.92$200.50
06-27 05:29Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$2.0k
06-27 05:24Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$1.7k
06-27 05:22Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$344.00
06-26 10:57Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.92$434.07