PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

novv25

0xa9fe4929d4ea1525ca03bd0ff68ea1fbf9e7f135

Realised P&L
$-134.9k
Volume
$5.97M
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$69.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2530.205$36.1k$8.4k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1340.075$19.5k$15.3k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2330.110$8.0k$8.9k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.3190.175$2.0k$1.6k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.2460.235$1.8k$88.96
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.3500.435$1.2k+$244.13
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0680.077$318.13+$39.95
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0750.065$304.94$48.88
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1200.049$49.00$71.00
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0840.069$8.12$1.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.2500.055$3.12$11.05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3800.230$0.61$0.39
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00$0.83
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · No0.5500.000$0.00$131.98
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00$99.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999999$2.3k
08-02 01:49Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.25$255.00
08-02 01:47Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.24$18.15
08-02 01:47Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.23$50.59
08-02 01:46Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.23$230.00
07-31 12:04New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$1.33
07-31 12:03New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$202.04
07-30 23:31New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.07$22.75
07-29 23:07Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$5.0k
07-29 00:55Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.08$7.05
07-28 01:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7279580233$953.81
07-28 01:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7259499463$1000.00
07-28 01:52Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.35$5.25
07-28 01:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7279999999$875.00
07-28 01:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.728$4.0k