novv25
0xa9fe4929d4ea1525ca03bd0ff68ea1fbf9e7f135
- Realised P&L
- $-134.9k
- Volume
- $5.97M
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $69.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.2kat 0.390Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
- +$25.3kat 0.674US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$15.2kat 0.773Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$12.1kat 0.364Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$10.6kat 0.405No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999999 | $2.3k |
| 08-02 01:49 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.25 | $255.00 |
| 08-02 01:47 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.24 | $18.15 |
| 08-02 01:47 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.23 | $50.59 |
| 08-02 01:46 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.23 | $230.00 |
| 07-31 12:04 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.33 |
| 07-31 12:03 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $202.04 |
| 07-30 23:31 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $22.75 |
| 07-29 23:07 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.0k |
| 07-29 00:55 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.05 |
| 07-28 01:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7279580233 | $953.81 |
| 07-28 01:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7259499463 | $1000.00 |
| 07-28 01:52 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.25 |
| 07-28 01:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7279999999 | $875.00 |
| 07-28 01:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.728 | $4.0k |