PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ProfitMuhammedPBUH

0xae7c98235d5dc797edfa3d3af2e0334238a4487e

Realised P&L
$-16.2k
Volume
$6.89M
Markets traded
847
Open portfolio
$32.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded847
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2130.205$25.6k$1.0k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.5260.205$3.1k$4.8k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1820.075$1.5k$2.1k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0400.021$855.99$727.12
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2230.265$430.26+$68.69
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1200.110$354.36$32.21
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.2900.110$272.66$447.33
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4780.675$120.35+$35.14
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0210.059$88.99+$57.05
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9070.485$68.98$60.02
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5270.315$67.52$45.48
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.7270.430$26.01$17.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$25.19$25.19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0050.009$25.03+$12.03
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0900.445$15.57+$12.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 22:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.7199999996$69.00
07-28 22:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.7199999996$69.00
07-28 22:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.7199999996$69.00
07-28 22:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.6599999604$5.00
07-28 20:45Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8619664465$20.00
07-28 13:57Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.7935291667$9.52
07-28 13:54Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.978249048$17.00
07-28 13:54Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.9539999997$13.00
07-28 13:54Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.9136769191$62.00
07-28 13:53Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.1895671283$7.00
07-28 13:53Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.16$2.00
07-28 13:49Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.1399999967$36.00
07-28 13:49Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.3162946621$200.00
07-28 13:49Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.88$73.91
07-28 13:45Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.7104315404$5.00