ProfitMuhammedPBUH
0xae7c98235d5dc797edfa3d3af2e0334238a4487e
- Realised P&L
- $-16.2k
- Volume
- $6.89M
- Markets traded
- 847
- Open portfolio
- $32.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded847
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.9kat 0.898Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$27.4kat 0.209US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$11.9kat 0.087Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
- +$8.5kat 0.579Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$5.3kat 0.058Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 22:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.7199999996 | $69.00 |
| 07-28 22:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.7199999996 | $69.00 |
| 07-28 22:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.7199999996 | $69.00 |
| 07-28 22:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 20:45 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8619664465 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 13:57 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.7935291667 | $9.52 |
| 07-28 13:54 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.978249048 | $17.00 |
| 07-28 13:54 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9539999997 | $13.00 |
| 07-28 13:54 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9136769191 | $62.00 |
| 07-28 13:53 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1895671283 | $7.00 |
| 07-28 13:53 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 13:49 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999967 | $36.00 |
| 07-28 13:49 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3162946621 | $200.00 |
| 07-28 13:49 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $73.91 |
| 07-28 13:45 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7104315404 | $5.00 |