PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gambler-666

0xb2ef91409df27ba0f582284f23f7b47d00ed90e2

Realised P&L
$5.9k
Volume
$132.4k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$699.75

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4680.560$239.19+$39.19
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.6350.315$198.32$201.68
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? · Yes0.0740.073$99.22$0.78
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0580.050$85.34$14.66
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1100.043$45.63$71.37
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.1040.016$16.66$91.34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.055$15.28$34.72
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$63.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$154.99
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven · Rico0.0700.000$0.00$13.00
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) · Daniel Rodriguez0.2500.000$0.00$100.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$22.50
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Dustin Jacoby0.6400.000$0.00$300.00
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) · Steve Erceg0.6050.000$0.00$300.00
O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over0.5200.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:13UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$100.00
08-01 18:20Will Marcin Tybura win by KO or TKO?BUY0.1045130633$100.00
07-31 12:22UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.4799999995$200.00
07-31 08:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.55$100.00
07-29 06:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.1099999992$117.00
07-26 11:44Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.94$484.68
07-25 18:00UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.6046971305$300.00
07-25 16:55UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.1141307343$65.00
07-25 16:23UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.3297801457$150.00
07-25 16:03UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.65$300.00
07-25 15:42O/U 1.5 RoundsBUY0.4399999993$200.00
07-25 14:41Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.5799999991$200.00
07-25 14:40UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)SELL0.33$178.82
07-25 14:36UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.64$300.00
07-25 14:32UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.1899999988$108.00