PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mrkinetiq

0xb48b1a8f796ba414672f8974dbfedca5c6c504eb

Realised P&L
$15.6k
Volume
$1.25M
Markets traded
517
Open portfolio
$27.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded517
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5320.455$2.6k$448.30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6370.725$2.2k+$268.39
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6750.590$2.2k$315.43
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4400.445$2.0k+$22.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7920.795$2.0k+$8.34
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2740.540$1.8k+$870.65
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9120.979$1.7k+$113.30
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.4820.250$1.6k$1.5k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.4990.655$1.4k+$343.42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.7640.957$1.4k+$288.69
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.805$1.4k$42.86
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6260.805$1.2k+$269.23
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7670.790$914.27+$26.58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5720.675$877.65+$134.02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.5730.685$830.23+$135.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 18:40U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.851224$425.61
07-26 20:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.61$297.49
07-26 20:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.998$892.12
07-26 17:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.28$0.09
07-26 16:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.29$10.11
07-25 22:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.69002426$690.02
07-25 22:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.52$182.00
07-25 22:05Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.75$68.47
07-25 21:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.53$413.67
07-25 21:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.66$393.64
07-25 13:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.4714017958$258.30
07-25 13:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.3$160.26
07-25 12:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.3$150.00
07-25 12:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.5$152.50
07-25 11:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.2109045518$83.63