mrkinetiq
0xb48b1a8f796ba414672f8974dbfedca5c6c504eb
- Realised P&L
- $15.6k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 517
- Open portfolio
- $27.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded517
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.795MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.318US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.586US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.430Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.112MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:40 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.851224 | $425.61 |
| 07-26 20:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $297.49 |
| 07-26 20:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.998 | $892.12 |
| 07-26 17:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.09 |
| 07-26 16:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.29 | $10.11 |
| 07-25 22:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.69002426 | $690.02 |
| 07-25 22:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $182.00 |
| 07-25 22:05 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.75 | $68.47 |
| 07-25 21:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.53 | $413.67 |
| 07-25 21:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $393.64 |
| 07-25 13:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4714017958 | $258.30 |
| 07-25 13:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $160.26 |
| 07-25 12:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $150.00 |
| 07-25 12:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $152.50 |
| 07-25 11:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.2109045518 | $83.63 |