PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd01696cf3f9cdbee754526b3a2f903cd20464496

Realised P&L
$94.00
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$128.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0450.107$71.45+$41.45
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? · Yes0.1300.095$14.62$5.38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2680.065$12.13$37.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.195$11.47+$1.47
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0490.048$9.79$0.21
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0490.036$7.34$2.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 12:45Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.0490393197$10.00
07-29 12:45Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.0490196078$10.00
07-29 12:44Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0451367553$30.00
07-29 12:43Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
07-29 12:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.207920787$30.00
06-08 15:38Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2678571399$50.00
06-03 20:30Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
06-02 12:53Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005999994$1.00
06-02 12:52Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$1.00
06-02 12:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0879999852$5.00
06-02 09:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999871$10.00