Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-21
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.07 to 0.17. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	192	192
0.11	1,118	1,310
0.12	2,104	3,414
0.13	620	4,034
0.16	20	4,054
0.17	40	4,095
0.22	241	4,336
0.25	13	4,349
0.29	7	4,356
0.30	35	4,392
0.31	14	4,406
0.35	40	4,446

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	880	880
0.08	1,488	2,368
0.07	1,796	4,164
0.06	1,153	5,318
0.05	808	6,125
0.04	500	6,625
0.03	347	6,973
0.02	1,372	8,345
0.01	1,286	9,631

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	880	880
0.92	1,488	2,368
0.93	1,796	4,164
0.94	1,153	5,318
0.95	808	6,125
0.96	500	6,625
0.97	347	6,973
0.98	1,372	8,345
0.99	1,286	9,631

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	192	192
0.89	1,118	1,310
0.88	2,104	3,414
0.87	620	4,034
0.84	20	4,054
0.83	40	4,095
0.78	241	4,336
0.75	13	4,349
0.71	7	4,356
0.70	35	4,392
0.69	14	4,406
0.65	40	4,446

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
96669	Yes	2,599.38
Oklmntrader	Yes	1,083.37
Kennz0r	Yes	1,047.4
troim	Yes	1,000
0xE08FBD0B5822113ed4EFfCDF3B69eaCA6c53Ef55-1774722008921	Yes	615.41
moneymemoneynow	Yes	512.2
moneymakingmachine	Yes	455.26
0xa22bDF9465D8B5fbe04925eB3b2B84D066DeEdA4-1771293682971	Yes	400
0xc106f47caa3294c1FF20C19bAfE784Dc33633054-1783164243345	Yes	330.2
0x5c7b19186fC8752A90150692b6b09717eFcE88E7-1783244439691	Yes	300
0x7dcF67e41483cA38A6Db54924EC5E5EDBfCBA4E5-1782112732655	Yes	299.98
Banditoes	Yes	200
dezm0n	Yes	191.82
dropmeplease	Yes	178.23
balthazar	Yes	176.72
arbokbro	Yes	174.76
0xd016…4496	Yes	153.85
RIC25	Yes	129
pabss	Yes	125
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes	120

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:46:56	BUY	No	0.91	120	$109.20
22:28:54	BUY	Yes	0.1042653986	192	$20.00
22:28:53	SELL	Yes	0.0847335	200	$16.95
22:27:51	BUY	No	0.9099999887	5	$4.85
20:53:21	BUY	No	0.9199999816	2	$2.00
20:51:29	BUY	Yes	0.1	400	$40.00
18:26:18	BUY	No	0.92	460	$423.20
17:31:29	BUY	No	0.92	19	$17.48
16:31:57	BUY	No	0.9199997274	4	$3.24
16:31:57	BUY	No	0.91	73	$66.79
21:55:14	SELL	No	0.9	73	$66.06
21:55:11	BUY	Yes	0.0954745995	1,047	$100.00
18:32:06	BUY	Yes	0.09	175	$15.73
16:47:32	SELL	No	0.91	25	$22.97
14:27:45	BUY	No	0.9099999827	11	$10.00
13:03:21	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.40
12:47:54	SELL	No	0.91	10	$9.10
12:47:50	SELL	No	0.9069489099	1,209	$1096.18
08:05:29	BUY	No	0.9476084942	489	$463.60
06:33:12	BUY	No	0.9399999675	23	$22.00
19:37:21	BUY	Yes	0.08	63	$5.00
15:11:29	BUY	Yes	0.08	194	$15.50
13:46:33	BUY	No	0.9299999991	22	$20.37
12:47:18	BUY	No	0.9299999985	32	$30.08
10:47:47	BUY	Yes	0.08	63	$5.00