0xd44c919a655a007BCEE15777C76B00cD3D8828C5-1768498912368
0xd44c919a655a007bcee15777c76b00cd3d8828c5
- Realised P&L
- $-660.00
- Volume
- $57.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,385
- Open portfolio
- $384.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,385
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.98at 0.100Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?
- +$133.91at 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$103.57at 0.403Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$97.94at 0.170Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?
- +$84.77at 0.469Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:47 | LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 19:21 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-02 01:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.34 |
| 08-01 21:29 | Will Zach Neto be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-01 21:25 | Will José Soriano be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-01 21:19 | Will Ryan Jeffers be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-01 21:16 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 07-31 23:09 | Will anyone say "Veto" during Big Brother E13? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 07-31 23:00 | Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E13? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 07-31 19:00 | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 07-31 17:31 | Will Club Almirante Brown vs. CA Racing de Cordoba end in a draw? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 07-31 02:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | SELL | 0.94 | $33.84 |
| 07-31 02:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.93 | $41.85 |
| 07-31 02:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | SELL | 0.965 | $44.39 |
| 07-31 01:39 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.70 |