PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

McRae

0xde63827b8f8ddd627ad9d7e0b09e8cc49bc446c2

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$334.6k
Markets traded
617
Open portfolio
$682.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded617
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.755$248.22+$67.40
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.5760.175$93.16$213.70
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.7240.935$76.83+$17.30
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7660.895$64.91+$9.32
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.5020.200$52.54$79.29
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? · No0.2200.895$47.27+$35.65
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2030.085$30.68$42.53
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0740.044$12.36$8.38
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8190.113$7.88$49.45
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7080.220$6.91$15.31
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.3670.095$6.11$17.48
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4060.670$5.35+$2.11
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2100.055$4.29$12.07
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1510.012$4.17$48.52
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0360.101$4.17+$2.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
08-02 03:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?BUY0.0233009485$1.00
08-02 03:43Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 2?BUY0.1559666782$4.49
08-01 16:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.629999988$10.00
08-01 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.549999956$5.00
08-01 16:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.4$3.00
08-01 16:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.4137930906$10.00
08-01 16:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.04$3.00
08-01 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.2799999731$5.00
08-01 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.2992996388$15.00
07-15 17:23England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5424999965$10.00
07-14 19:32Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2025000084$5.00
07-14 19:32France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3924999678$5.00
07-14 19:31Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?SELL0.87$9.08
07-14 19:11Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3699999771$10.00