PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

EQMresolution

0xdfdc41c7c52d8e4b8168c54b67e76b5b732a444d

Realised P&L
$-865.66
Volume
$116.2k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$153.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3000.280$55.08$3.93
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2880.115$39.98$60.02
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? · No0.3440.540$30.92+$11.23
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.9400.920$9.20$0.20
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.8500.870$8.70+$0.20
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes0.4600.435$3.88$0.22
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.8901.000$2.69+$0.29
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.8801.000$2.56+$0.31
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes0.2300.295$0.40+$0.09
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.1800.014$0.19$2.22
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.0820.001$0.03$4.21
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.0130.001$0.03$0.63
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.0910.001$0.02$4.08
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$4.53
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? · No0.0500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 06:56Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?BUY0.21$4.20
07-21 06:56Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?BUY0.49$9.80
07-09 06:32Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?SELL0.2264448052$11.16
07-09 06:31Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?SELL0.23$27.60
07-09 06:30Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.547$54.70
07-09 06:29Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.36$39.58
07-09 06:29Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.04$40.00
07-09 06:27Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?SELL0.09$4.40
07-09 06:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.04$2.00
07-09 06:24Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.15$7.50
07-09 06:22Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?SELL0.29$17.40
07-08 01:00Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?SELL0.25$46.00
07-08 00:58Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.971$24.27
07-06 23:14GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?SELL0.871$21.77
07-05 04:11Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.93$23.25