EQMresolution
0xdfdc41c7c52d8e4b8168c54b67e76b5b732a444d
- Realised P&L
- $-865.66
- Volume
- $116.2k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $153.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.550Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
- +$474.46at 0.490Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$242.06at 0.379Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$159.25at 0.510US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$146.68at 0.400Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 06:56 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 07-21 06:56 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 07-09 06:32 | Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? | SELL | 0.2264448052 | $11.16 |
| 07-09 06:31 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $27.60 |
| 07-09 06:30 | Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.547 | $54.70 |
| 07-09 06:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.36 | $39.58 |
| 07-09 06:29 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 07-09 06:27 | Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.40 |
| 07-09 06:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 06:24 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 07-09 06:22 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $17.40 |
| 07-08 01:00 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $46.00 |
| 07-08 00:58 | Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.971 | $24.27 |
| 07-06 23:14 | GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.871 | $21.77 |
| 07-05 04:11 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $23.25 |