Kaiji123
0xe5bd42e02dc8c05b31514c1596eaf82d3e52339a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $2.26M
- Markets traded
- 2,465
- Open portfolio
- $12.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,465
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.9kat 0.089Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$7.4kat 0.038Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.442Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.081Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$6.1kat 0.181Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $37.39 |
| 06-05 13:57 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 06-05 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.93 |
| 06-05 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 06-05 13:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $27.00 |
| 05-28 06:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.89 |
| 05-26 09:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $205.01 |
| 05-20 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.37 |
| 05-20 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 05-20 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 05-19 07:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.233 | $4.66 |
| 05-18 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19? | SELL | 0.936 | $11.23 |
| 05-18 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19? | SELL | 0.936 | $3.19 |
| 05-18 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19? | SELL | 0.936 | $46.80 |
| 05-18 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 18? | SELL | 0.934 | $19.61 |