PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kaiji123

0xe5bd42e02dc8c05b31514c1596eaf82d3e52339a

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$2.26M
Markets traded
2,465
Open portfolio
$12.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,465
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0590.375$2.7k+$2.3k
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0460.308$2.2k+$1.8k
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0490.195$1.4k+$1.1k
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.185$910.01+$720.83
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.185$910.01+$720.83
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.160$784.58+$595.39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.145$713.25+$524.07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.098$482.06+$292.87
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.095$467.31+$278.12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0420.065$464.63+$162.78
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0350.046$312.30+$74.28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.055$270.55+$81.36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.034$164.79$24.40
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.030$150.03$39.16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0390.021$143.84$129.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-05 14:04Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?SELL0.74$37.39
06-05 13:57Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?SELL0.11$110.00
06-05 13:56Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.12$3.93
06-05 13:56Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.13$65.00
06-05 13:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.18$27.00
05-28 06:45Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?SELL0.011$0.89
05-26 09:15Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?BUY0.25$205.01
05-20 09:42Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?BUY0.35$1.37
05-20 03:16Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?BUY0.29$5.80
05-20 02:58Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?BUY0.35$7.00
05-19 07:45Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.233$4.66
05-18 02:35Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19?SELL0.936$11.23
05-18 02:35Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19?SELL0.936$3.19
05-18 02:34Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19?SELL0.936$46.80
05-18 01:57Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 18?SELL0.934$19.61