PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

78979879879879

0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e

Realised P&L
$-169.1k
Volume
$2.96M
Markets traded
232
Open portfolio
$336.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded232
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8730.885$65.8k+$908.74
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.8770.998$52.5k+$6.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9340.982$29.1k+$1.4k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8620.890$27.8k+$860.91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9140.992$19.5k+$1.5k
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.7960.895$19.4k+$2.1k
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8040.885$18.3k+$1.7k
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7450.800$17.9k+$1.2k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · No0.9080.925$16.9k+$318.47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.9340.956$14.0k+$323.30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7970.805$12.8k+$121.75
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · Yes0.9130.994$8.3k+$677.65
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7700.795$8.3k+$259.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · No0.8440.885$4.9k+$226.49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5800.675$3.8k+$530.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8499999998$198.00
08-02 15:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.85$2.0k
08-02 15:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$2.2k
08-02 13:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8776274484$12.1k
08-02 13:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$12.0k
08-02 13:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8599999997$1.3k
08-02 13:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$1.5k
08-02 13:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8599999999$840.00
08-02 13:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$840.32
08-02 12:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9627578849$936.00
08-02 12:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.87$31.0k
08-02 12:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$31.9k
08-02 11:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.87$9.0k
08-02 11:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.962794565$4.0k
08-02 11:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.73$637.00