Melody626
0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9
- Realised P&L
- $88.1k
- Volume
- $33.60M
- Markets traded
- 1,380
- Open portfolio
- $604.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,380
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.6kat 0.456GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
- +$126.0kat 0.517Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$95.1kat 0.697TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$60.5kat 0.586Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$45.7kat 0.733Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:59 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.1241621883 | $30.87 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.1k |
| 08-02 16:48 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.79 | $49.25 |
| 08-02 05:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6792164268 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 00:57 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.61 | $152.50 |
| 08-02 00:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.79 | $24.23 |
| 08-02 00:56 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.6076666389 | $72.91 |
| 08-02 00:56 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.6 | $29.00 |
| 08-02 00:56 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? | BUY | 0.0053622731 | $0.77 |
| 08-02 00:54 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 08-02 00:53 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.5272813767 | $446.13 |
| 08-02 00:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.7252360515 | $50.69 |
| 08-02 00:50 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.45 | $90.00 |
| 08-01 22:51 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.445 | $89.00 |
| 08-01 19:09 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.3977829154 | $67.10 |