PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

churna

0xed116e6d4190e5c09f950a893074b5a5aef710be

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$772.5k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$28.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9570.982$5.8k+$145.05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8910.887$3.2k$13.01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8280.855$2.6k+$82.80
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7130.865$2.6k+$462.89
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.955$2.1k+$144.26
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.9870.985$2.0k$4.12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9630.961$2.0k$4.55
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5900.595$1.7k+$14.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9250.935$1.5k+$16.00
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6600.675$983.86+$21.86
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$732.00+$36.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9440.962$671.92+$12.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.895$508.55+$8.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.8800.960$480.00+$40.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9800.991$404.29+$4.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:10Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?SELL0.917912$91.79
08-03 00:39Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.7069998713$1.00
08-03 00:34Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8781837751$261.10
07-31 16:50Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999999$300.00
07-30 18:51Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6599999987$500.00
07-29 18:21Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.8887811635$1.4k
07-27 16:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$500.00
07-27 15:52Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9642657122$1.7k
07-22 20:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$300.00
07-22 10:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$1000.00
07-22 10:01Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7496818107$319.96
07-18 06:39Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$389.05
07-14 23:01Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9090909091$200.00
07-14 22:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$500.00
07-14 22:58Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.98$400.00