PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mka

0xee959eb963a90534a973e562402696efe8fd02dd

Realised P&L
$-449.49
Volume
$14.9k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$365.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.2130.685$247.16+$170.16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.885$67.95+$18.81
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1510.107$42.64$17.36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.1000.065$6.50$3.50
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$64.64
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · No0.2940.000$0.00$384.16
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$77.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes0.4280.000$0.00$390.55
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$20.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$100.00
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$40.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 12:49Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.64$49.14
07-30 11:28Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.2199999949$27.00
07-30 11:27Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.2099999968$50.00
07-30 11:25Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0874210745$20.00
07-26 19:50Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
07-26 19:49Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2382133959$40.00
07-01 21:52Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0289999971$10.00
06-28 21:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1109999946$18.00
06-28 21:49Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$40.00
02-28 19:38Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.96$105.36
02-28 19:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.934$278.80
02-28 08:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.44$48.29
02-28 08:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.066999997$20.00
02-28 08:20Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.005$1.25
02-28 08:20Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.23$67.03