mka
0xee959eb963a90534a973e562402696efe8fd02dd
- Realised P&L
- $-449.49
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $365.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$280.80at 0.064Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$258.80at 0.067Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$184.23at 0.520Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$144.16at 0.111Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$57.07at 0.440Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:49 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $49.14 |
| 07-30 11:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $27.00 |
| 07-30 11:27 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 11:25 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0874210745 | $20.00 |
| 07-26 19:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 19:49 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2382133959 | $40.00 |
| 07-01 21:52 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0289999971 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 21:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1109999946 | $18.00 |
| 06-28 21:49 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 02-28 19:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.96 | $105.36 |
| 02-28 19:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.934 | $278.80 |
| 02-28 08:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $48.29 |
| 02-28 08:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.066999997 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 08:20 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.25 |
| 02-28 08:20 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $67.03 |