Outsid3rTrading
0xf1ef8705e9f63c790c6fffd6329aea7011718cd6
- Realised P&L
- $101.1k
- Volume
- $10.31M
- Markets traded
- 1,579
- Open portfolio
- $383.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,579
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.3kat 0.101US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$67.2kat 0.130Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$24.1kat 0.229NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$17.7kat 0.29276ers vs. Celtics
- +$10.1kat 0.110Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $342.66 |
| 08-02 16:07 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $0.13 |
| 08-02 05:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.2k |
| 08-02 04:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $273.08 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.8 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 04:32 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 03:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.7k |
| 08-01 18:20 | UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.24 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 05:06 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.61 | $204.69 |
| 07-30 06:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $209.73 |
| 07-27 20:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.36 | $409.86 |
| 07-26 06:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $960.00 |
| 07-26 06:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.2k |
| 07-22 03:44 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $203.17 |
| 07-21 05:27 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.58 |