SiSi
0xf85fa31a58fcce6c00b5af806a598b1600329800
- Realised P&L
- $8.8k
- Volume
- $2.18M
- Markets traded
- 1,033
- Open portfolio
- $33.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,033
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.0kat 0.300US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$5.4kat 0.400Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$3.8kat 0.815Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
- +$3.0kat 0.749Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
- +$2.6kat 0.502Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:48 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.12 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 15:44 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $800.00 |
| 08-02 15:42 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.3699999996 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 15:38 | Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.9308311886 | $750.00 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $823.41 |
| 07-26 10:15 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999999 | $8.0k |
| 07-06 22:31 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.13 |
| 07-02 17:04 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1285943439 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 15:37 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $300.00 |
| 06-21 11:22 | Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open? | BUY | 0.7299999999 | $700.00 |
| 06-14 06:03 | James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.53 |
| 06-14 02:08 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $329.20 |
| 06-12 12:46 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |
| 06-11 17:06 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | SELL | 0.63 | $252.00 |
| 06-11 16:07 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $400.00 |