PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451

0xfc2f4f50ce2f6045d35558a5e2d8d4b2ac6610c7

Realised P&L
$187.5k
Volume
$54.22M
Markets traded
800
Open portfolio
$26.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded800
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.7250.895$6.1k+$1.2k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4660.445$3.6k$164.28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.5910.525$3.4k$426.80
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.4120.280$1.7k$794.81
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0150.028$1.6k+$721.11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0970.085$1.1k$152.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2390.275$929.09+$120.16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · No0.4880.365$893.38$302.08
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.5600.865$692.00+$244.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0530.190$686.36+$495.73
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.5650.875$637.15+$225.44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0920.136$609.46+$197.58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2240.215$462.70$19.09
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.5600.345$379.39$236.61
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4170.610$366.03+$115.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.47$1.9k
08-02 20:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4629857571$3.2k
08-02 18:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5912251625$4.7k
08-02 18:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.223869275$895.48
08-02 18:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.2971461333$891.44
08-02 18:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5367120333$1.6k
08-02 18:26Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.89$89.00
08-02 13:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.85$1.2k
08-02 13:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.969$746.13
08-02 03:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.8$105.68
08-02 03:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.89$774.86
08-02 02:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0584363085$114.49
08-02 02:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3373117132$524.63
08-02 02:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.0214330391$193.54
08-02 01:23Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.76$58.24