cd30gfu530p0
0xfd5a25def796ca377e5b22fb7b60e3007d40aa7a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $161.0k
- Markets traded
- 798
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded798
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$640.88at 0.039Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
- +$439.87at 0.677Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$302.11at 0.262Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
- +$271.16at 0.505Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$257.48at 0.199Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:03 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.33 |
| 08-03 07:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.0066873548 | $13.29 |
| 08-03 03:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999676 | $14.87 |
| 08-03 02:17 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.73 |
| 08-03 01:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999742 | $29.71 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.0954407295 | $3.14 |
| 08-02 19:07 | Will STRC market cap hit $10B by July 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.60 |
| 08-02 17:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1949999434 | $2.74 |
| 08-02 17:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1949999782 | $6.16 |
| 08-02 16:00 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 15:52 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.3399998539 | $1.35 |
| 08-02 13:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $23.42 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $21.27 |
| 08-02 12:13 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.3399998446 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 04:33 | Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31? | BUY | 0.9551535064 | $38.49 |