PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cd30gfu530p0

0xfd5a25def796ca377e5b22fb7b60e3007d40aa7a

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$161.0k
Markets traded
798
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded798
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8160.957$401.00+$59.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.3560.425$387.12+$63.03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8450.900$300.82+$18.38
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5180.775$261.97+$86.76
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3590.395$159.91+$14.42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9200.979$156.52+$9.48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.775$149.59$0.96
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.9090.981$140.28+$10.25
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.3410.430$136.58+$28.33
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.9000.910$110.71+$1.22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7400.999$108.36+$28.05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6390.745$94.40+$13.41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8840.855$91.02$3.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5720.685$90.77+$14.96
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8960.885$90.50$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.33
08-03 07:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.0066873548$13.29
08-03 03:01US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8599999676$14.87
08-03 02:17Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.64$1.73
08-03 01:11US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8699999742$29.71
08-02 21:51Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.0954407295$3.14
08-02 19:07Will STRC market cap hit $10B by July 31?BUY0.98$2.60
08-02 17:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.1949999434$2.74
08-02 17:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.1949999782$6.16
08-02 16:000 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.011$0.22
08-02 15:52Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.3399998539$1.35
08-02 13:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.67$23.42
08-02 13:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.65$21.27
08-02 12:13Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.3399998446$1.40
08-02 04:33Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?BUY0.9551535064$38.49