PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.28. up 0.20 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.07 to 0.29. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.31473473
0.325478
0.4010488
0.4169557
0.4345602
0.4420622
0.5860682
0.59200882
0.6045927
0.611501,077
0.661201,197
0.674001,597

Spread0.05Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.26470470
0.2120490
0.200490
0.1848537
0.17159696
0.1258755
0.10120875
0.0929904
0.081121,016
0.052001,216
0.041501,366
0.035001,866

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.74470470
0.7920490
0.800490
0.8248537
0.83159696
0.8858755
0.90120875
0.9129904
0.921121,016
0.952001,216
0.961501,366
0.975001,866

Spread0.05Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.69473473
0.685478
0.6010488
0.5969557
0.5745602
0.5620622
0.4260682
0.41200882
0.4045927
0.391501,077
0.341201,197
0.334001,597

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
molodoyyYes353.01
R79dgahrYes313.9
tradetosurvive1Yes93.92
HerrieDavisYes87.3
LornaPredictsYes22.87
pootytherewardfarmerYes21
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes20.07
bechamelYes20
SlackjawYes17.77
AJSVYes15.38
0x11B53AF0db7d807e20c54420232099C11D608c02-1780728892156Yes10
0x4ca94a83BDbA25336C69807cceF4ff34F5D17aa1-1782717308762Yes9.86
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes5.33
alphalab1Yes4
0xa5ef…2966No767.11
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo159.04
gonnakilmyslfNo29
SmartBoyBillyNo20.1
BondWasHereNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:41:39SELLNo0.6799413461201$136.79
04:28:09SELLNo0.795$3.95
04:24:20BUYYes0.1894178432304$57.56
04:24:20BUYNo0.810$8.02
02:20:39SELLYes0.1720$3.40
02:20:38SELLYes0.1720$3.40
02:20:30SELLYes0.171$0.16
02:20:26BUYNo0.8211$8.99
02:20:26SELLYes0.1820$3.60
02:20:24BUYNo0.8210$8.20
02:20:21BUYNo0.8220$16.40
22:15:09SELLYes0.188$1.38
22:15:05SELLYes0.188$1.38
22:13:27SELLYes0.28$1.54
22:13:24SELLYes0.28$1.54
22:11:48SELLYes0.28$1.54
22:11:45SELLYes0.28$1.54
22:10:02SELLYes0.28$1.54
22:07:27SELLYes0.28$1.54
22:05:42SELLYes0.28$1.54
22:05:41BUYNo0.798$6.08
22:05:38BUYNo0.7920$15.80
07:10:30SELLNo0.767736040610$7.56
07:10:06BUYYes0.209999938110$2.07
01:15:48SELLNo0.775$3.86