PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-01
Resolves by
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.30 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.19 to 0.50. 58 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.23293293
0.3110303
0.3218321
0.336327
0.3440367
0.4110377
0.445382
0.6510392
0.7410402
0.9713415
0.9823438
0.9910448

Spread0.05Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1833
0.1169
0.10285294
0.0972366
0.0313379
0.0221400
0.0110410

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8233
0.8969
0.90285294
0.9172366
0.9713379
0.9821400
0.9910410

Spread0.05Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.77293293
0.6910303
0.6818321
0.676327
0.6640367
0.5910377
0.565382
0.3510392
0.2610402
0.0313415
0.0223438
0.0110448

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes200
grothYes170
0x12b3…e104Yes61.25
LornaPredictsYes50
B0192i39041Yes43.14
chessplayerYes40
0xbada…d874Yes31.54
AJSVYes31.26
cd30gfu530p0Yes17.98
0x26bb…03cfYes12.3
0x7130…5387Yes8.28
0x57e7…84e9Yes6.18
GodofsunmoonYes6.1
trrr12Yes1.09
MeiMeiPredictionsNo503.63
jwd103103No116.14
pootytherewardfarmerNo47.99
partyballoonNo6.1
0xf528…7e5bNo6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:30:09SELLNo0.775554115431$23.93
06:28:18BUYYes0.189999974725$4.80
04:09:03BUYYes0.216$1.26
04:08:47BUYNo0.81999998366$5.00
22:21:45BUYNo0.6028225086504$303.60
18:11:50SELLNo0.5740$22.80
17:53:44SELLNo0.5720$11.40
13:36:06BUYYes0.426$2.60
13:35:39SELLNo0.5820$11.60
13:35:36BUYYes0.401602259261$24.60
13:35:36SELLNo0.5820$11.60
13:35:36SELLNo0.5880920$11.76
13:35:36SELLNo0.5920$11.80
13:35:35BUYYes0.412$4.92
13:35:35BUYYes0.418$7.19
13:35:33BUYYes0.48$3.31
13:35:33BUYYes0.39170$66.30
12:15:15BUYNo0.627$4.34
10:34:32BUYYes0.4250$21.00
01:52:35SELLYes0.3529$10.28
01:18:26BUYYes0.551$0.60
01:18:24BUYYes0.549999986630$16.45
01:14:59BUYYes0.412$0.67
01:14:57BUYYes0.409999989129$12.04