PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-15

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.019. down 0.040 over the period, from 0.060. Range 0.019 to 0.275. 36 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0291212
0.030270282
0.03180362
0.03240402
0.03675477
0.05893570
0.0605051,075
0.120101,085
0.140701,156
0.160211,177
0.170301,207
0.179131,220

Spread0.019Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010510510
0.002351861
0.0015,3166,177

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990510510
0.998351861
0.9995,3166,177

Spread0.019Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9711212
0.970270282
0.96980362
0.96840402
0.96475477
0.94293570
0.9405051,075
0.880101,085
0.860701,156
0.840211,177
0.830301,207
0.821131,220

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HerrieDavisYes226.02
tradetosurvive1Yes195
arbokbroYes191.13
CantStopWontStopYes80
FreshNewBeginningYes75
GuyFromTinderYes65
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes63
LornaPredictsYes56
BikesAreTheBikesYes51.54
AJSVYes45.76
SolTerraLunaYes41.66
MoneyShkreliYes40
Dr.PNLYes31.29
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
PPMTYes30
NinymYes26.05
billygodYes21
0x11B53AF0db7d807e20c54420232099C11D608c02-1780728892156Yes20
SlackjawYes20
bechamelYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:14:30BUYNo0.983136$133.69
07:14:26BUYNo0.9795727175121$118.34
07:09:36BUYNo0.969618250396$92.66
03:53:50SELLYes0.0291$0.03
03:51:33BUYYes0.11899998$1.00
23:44:21BUYYes0.05999994617$1.00
23:41:50BUYYes0.039141$5.50
23:22:27BUYYes0.038382390926$1.00
22:27:45SELLYes0.0384460175718$27.59
17:31:50BUYNo0.93999999625$5.00
12:32:53SELLNo0.912$1.82
12:31:51SELLYes0.0835$2.80
12:30:57SELLYes0.0917$1.53
12:30:23SELLYes0.10220$2.04
12:30:21SELLYes0.1140$4.40
12:30:18BUYNo0.88253$222.34
10:39:45SELLYes0.1245$5.40
10:17:17SELLYes0.1225$3.00
10:17:09SELLNo0.8630$25.59
10:16:57SELLYes0.1220$2.40
10:16:54BUYNo0.8395628415183$153.64
10:16:32BUYNo0.8360$49.80
10:02:32SELLNo0.8231$25.72
10:02:23SELLNo0.826$5.16
09:53:26SELLNo0.828$6.15