PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-16

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.016. down 0.009 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.003 to 0.029. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0236060
0.0241,0001,060
0.0251,0002,060
0.030632,123
0.0312002,323
0.0321,0003,323
0.0331,5004,823
0.0351,0005,823
0.0381,0006,823
0.0501,0007,823
0.056407,863
0.0575008,363

Spread0.014Mid0.016

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.009100100
0.008100200
0.0068001,000
0.0052,0003,000
0.004203,020
0.0031003,120
0.002763,196
0.0018,98012,176

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.991100100
0.992100200
0.9948001,000
0.9952,0003,000
0.996203,020
0.9971003,120
0.998763,196
0.9998,98012,176

Spread0.014Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9776060
0.9761,0001,060
0.9751,0002,060
0.970632,123
0.9692002,323
0.9681,0003,323
0.9671,5004,823
0.9651,0005,823
0.9621,0006,823
0.9501,0007,823
0.944407,863
0.9435008,363

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Tender-SeriesYes12,531.49
goodluck81Yes9,039.56
HolyMoses7Yes5,944.11
xSanctuaryYes1,269
liq2Yes1,191.03
qcp2Yes1,181.22
1234abYes1,095.41
cigarettesYes898.8
donthackmeYes588.64
Mozckito3Yes530
Elias.ThornwellYes413.18
th4m2gj1v9apYes338.51
HerrieDavisYes322.47
x5w6nYes297.77
LornaPredictsYes276.57
0x149b…d435Yes273.34
0x10ea…02edYes262.7
0x9687…1b7cYes205
0pc0pYes170.96
just-hanging-aroundYes162.37

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:34:23BUYNo0.98920$19.98
11:09:06BUYNo0.98912$11.87
03:49:23SELLYes0.0126$0.08
13:27:26SELLNo0.9888311814466$461.03
07:05:38SELLYes0.0066$0.04
07:03:41SELLYes0.0065$0.03
07:02:12SELLYes0.0065$0.03
03:23:42BUYNo0.99350$49.65
03:16:59BUYNo0.99450$49.70
03:15:15BUYNo0.99440$39.76
03:09:44BUYNo0.99410$9.94
03:07:32BUYNo0.99450$49.70
21:56:11BUYNo0.986999999810$9.86
21:56:11BUYNo0.987100$98.70
21:56:11BUYNo0.98710$9.87
21:40:14BUYNo0.985910$9.86
21:40:14BUYNo0.98512$11.82
20:59:15BUYNo0.98517$16.72
20:59:09BUYNo0.9771$0.98
20:59:09BUYNo0.97710$9.77
20:56:11BUYNo0.97740$39.08
14:01:12BUYNo0.97610$9.75
14:01:12BUYNo0.97610$9.76
13:59:42BUYNo0.97599980945$5.08
13:59:36BUYNo0.973410$9.73