PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.051. down 0.124 over the period, from 0.175. Range 0.037 to 0.175. 160 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0727474
0.073100174
0.07432206
0.08236242
0.093199441
0.0941,0431,484
0.129201,504
0.139201,524
0.1593001,824
0.1602542,078
0.169602,138
0.300402,178

Spread0.043Mid0.050

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0296060
0.02874134
0.02732166
0.020387553
0.0055558
0.0038071,364
0.0021,8273,191
0.00148,68651,877

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9716060
0.97274134
0.97332166
0.980387553
0.9955558
0.9978071,364
0.9981,8273,191
0.99948,68651,877

Spread0.043Mid0.950

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9287474
0.927100174
0.92632206
0.91836242
0.907199441
0.9061,0431,484
0.871201,504
0.861201,524
0.8413001,824
0.8402542,078
0.831602,138
0.700402,178

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Adrink3DYes1,042.92
ImJustKenYes254.31
0x43ca1f1D6ee7Aabae77904Ac6bD49645EefCd04C-1772321874896Yes168.67
thecaricatureYes120
ShalevroeiYes78.67
ViscaElBarcaYes75
LornaPredictsYes60
757677Yes44
Numitus1994Yes42.86
daroghiYes30
razuchiTWOYes30
RazuchiDISNEYYes30
SiSiYes30
Chrissistar04Yes26.4
LBZbot2Yes25.71
0xa154…87c6Yes25.08
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338Yes20.8
JakeBeezYes20
destropyerYes20
0x8c9f…46afYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:07:23SELLNo0.92120$18.42
05:07:15SELLNo0.9220$18.32
05:07:08SELLNo0.91920$18.38
05:00:26BUYNo0.940999950320$18.81
05:00:23SELLNo0.941502540$37.66
04:58:44BUYYes0.0592885322169$10.00
22:24:15BUYNo0.9183$2.83
00:37:15SELLYes0.08230$2.46
13:02:02BUYNo0.92526$24.42
01:17:32SELLNo0.90630$27.18
01:17:27SELLNo0.90620$18.12
01:17:15SELLNo0.90620$18.12
01:17:09SELLNo0.90620$18.12
01:12:57SELLNo0.90620$18.12
01:11:11SELLNo0.90626034812,700$2446.90
16:19:27SELLYes0.01252125$1.56
13:20:11SELLNo0.933520$18.67
13:17:33BUYYes0.063555114279$5.00
10:05:08SELLYes0.044057254951$2.25
21:07:02BUYYes0.11599990639$1.00
17:10:20SELLYes0.073386623922$1.60
13:16:13BUYYes0.13499989067$1.00
11:12:04SELLYes0.09172850$4.59
05:47:55SELLYes0.09121$1.87
05:07:28SELLYes0.09120$1.82