tokenium
0x471c5031eb940472718c6f9a4af73472576e9e94
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $76.7k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $134.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.00at 0.850Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-04?
- +$260.45at 0.410Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
- +$215.60at 0.936Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-11?
- +$175.00at 0.660Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
- +$161.89at 0.952Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:00 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.4889999408 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 05:58 | Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? | BUY | 0.803999997 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 05:56 | Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2899999579 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 18:49 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.80 |
| 08-02 16:53 | Will FK Zenit win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.62 |
| 08-02 14:04 | Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.7399999833 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 14:03 | Will FK Zenit win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.8499999972 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 05:10 | Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 08-01 05:05 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 05:05 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 05:04 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.36 |
| 08-01 05:04 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 05:02 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |