anoin123
0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
- Realised P&L
- $-5.37M
- Volume
- $108.99M
- Markets traded
- 605
- Open portfolio
- $1.65M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded605
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.6kat 0.175Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$175.4kat 0.388Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$173.0kat 0.832US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$167.5kat 0.682US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$165.7kat 0.051Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 07-31 16:58 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.9621101389 | $85.2k |
| 07-30 14:51 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.9650232497 | $104.5k |
| 07-29 20:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.93 |
| 07-29 18:39 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $299.22 |
| 07-29 14:23 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.9651266761 | $28.2k |
| 07-27 20:27 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.9670778794 | $63.4k |
| 07-27 16:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.728 | $4.7k |
| 07-27 02:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.799 | $4.03 |
| 07-26 23:45 | Netanyahu out by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.2k |
| 07-25 02:00 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 07-23 19:07 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.86 |
| 07-23 02:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.751 | $13.87 |
| 07-22 02:05 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.14 |
| 07-21 01:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.04 |