EirikL
0xb83465ea10c45108c2fae896cecf238396ee7e1d
- Realised P&L
- $332.13
- Volume
- $53.8k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $150.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.160Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.210Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?
- +$-1.00at 0.014S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?
- +$-1.00at 0.080Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.016Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 17:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0222701922 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 11:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0362177377 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 08:55 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999464 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 08:51 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 08:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0189999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 17:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0389999963 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 18:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 13:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0642042777 | $30.00 |
| 06-12 13:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 17:59 | Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%? | BUY | 0.0391857235 | $40.00 |
| 05-18 21:59 | Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%? | BUY | 0.0396620791 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 22:54 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 15:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0149999985 | $10.00 |
| 05-01 18:09 | Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%? | BUY | 0.0264348057 | $10.00 |
| 05-01 18:08 | Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%? | BUY | 0.0379418662 | $40.00 |