PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

EirikL

0xb83465ea10c45108c2fae896cecf238396ee7e1d

Realised P&L
$332.13
Volume
$53.8k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$150.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0190.018$97.37$2.63
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0220.009$42.66$57.34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0390.011$2.95$7.05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.013$1.56+$0.56
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.006$1.08+$0.08
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.005$0.92$0.08
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.004$0.90$0.10
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0220.017$0.77$0.23
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.005$0.75$0.25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0110.006$0.59$0.41
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0090.004$0.50$0.50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.015$0.39$0.61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0120.004$0.37$0.63
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.007$0.11$0.89
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 17:56Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0222701922$100.00
07-10 11:49Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0362177377$10.00
07-07 08:55Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0579999464$1.00
07-07 08:51Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
07-07 08:46Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0189999998$100.00
07-03 17:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0389999963$10.00
06-17 18:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.00
06-12 13:28Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0642042777$30.00
06-12 13:21Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.002999997$1.00
05-23 17:59Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?BUY0.0391857235$40.00
05-18 21:59Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?BUY0.0396620791$10.00
05-16 22:54Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
05-12 15:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0149999985$10.00
05-01 18:09Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?BUY0.0264348057$10.00
05-01 18:08Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?BUY0.0379418662$40.00