Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.015 to 0.017. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.016	38	38
0.017	89	126
0.018	19	145
0.019	19	163
0.020	179	343
0.021	1,078	1,421
0.022	704	2,125
0.023	26	2,150
0.024	26	2,176
0.025	176	2,352
0.026	7	2,359
0.027	7	2,366

Spread0.001Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.015	32	32
0.014	185	216
0.013	957	1,173
0.012	45	1,218
0.011	50	1,268
0.010	175	1,443
0.009	1,114	2,557
0.008	68	2,625
0.007	78	2,703
0.006	888	3,591
0.005	109	3,700
0.004	137	3,837

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.985	32	32
0.986	185	216
0.987	957	1,173
0.988	45	1,218
0.989	50	1,268
0.990	175	1,443
0.991	1,114	2,557
0.992	68	2,625
0.993	78	2,703
0.994	888	3,591
0.995	109	3,700
0.996	137	3,837

Spread0.001Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.984	38	38
0.983	89	126
0.982	19	145
0.981	19	163
0.980	179	343
0.979	1,078	1,421
0.978	704	2,125
0.977	26	2,150
0.976	26	2,176
0.975	176	2,352
0.974	7	2,359
0.973	7	2,366

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tiger555	Yes	6,343.08
Burge	Yes	3,146.34
GamblingEnjoyer	Yes	2,593.97
puravida	Yes	1,271.11
hippoka	Yes	1,041.8
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	1,028.13
GrandNegroniSlurpClub	Yes	769.13
begen	Yes	684
AMAM13	Yes	606.1
cry.eth2	Yes	466.28
Red-bluedegen	Yes	330.72
LornaPredicts	Yes	308
acc42020	Yes	254.38
planktonXD	Yes	237.69
donthackme	Yes	172.55
carpe-noctem	Yes	170
Pewpewlaserderp	Yes	165.79
Convex79	Yes	160.8
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
Brianm	Yes	125.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:48:48	SELL	No	0.984	1	$0.99
08:35:48	BUY	No	0.985	9	$9.30
15:00:44	SELL	Yes	0.015	19	$0.28
17:42:47	SELL	Yes	0.014	20	$0.28
14:12:11	BUY	No	0.986	20	$19.72
14:12:11	BUY	No	0.986	20	$19.72
14:12:11	BUY	No	0.986	25	$24.22
14:12:03	BUY	No	0.9851892987	49	$48.61
23:14:50	BUY	No	0.985999999	40	$39.45
23:14:50	BUY	No	0.985999996	10	$9.87
23:14:50	BUY	No	0.9859999984	25	$24.66
23:14:48	BUY	No	0.9854470588	85	$83.76
23:09:22	SELL	Yes	0.0151443534	206	$3.12
09:30:19	BUY	No	0.984999998	5	$4.93
08:40:30	BUY	No	0.985	5	$4.92
23:32:01	BUY	No	0.986	6	$5.92
23:32:00	BUY	No	0.9847856667	60	$59.09
23:31:34	BUY	No	0.984	6	$5.90
23:31:34	BUY	No	0.984	5	$5.22
23:31:31	BUY	No	0.984	5	$4.92
19:40:10	BUY	No	0.98335675	40	$39.33
14:44:33	BUY	No	0.983	2	$2.03
07:53:45	BUY	No	0.9829999987	12	$11.99
17:13:33	BUY	No	0.983	10	$9.83
15:24:03	BUY	No	0.9829999951	1	$1.00