98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
0xda9126becc96be3598ddd05c4fc06f4093759ffd
- Realised P&L
- $11.1k
- Volume
- $664.9k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $9.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.701Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.104Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$1.4kat 0.588Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$1.2kat 0.965Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.324Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998849 | $4.44 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.019 | $64.95 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.9837617324 | $4.2k |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999967 | $58.00 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999967 | $55.10 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999967 | $58.00 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999972 | $52.49 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999537 | $2.90 |
| 08-02 22:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 22:42 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999749 | $5.80 |
| 08-02 22:42 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $63.00 |
| 08-02 22:42 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999967 | $58.00 |
| 08-02 22:38 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2889999414 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 22:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.15 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.3399999262 | $1.75 |