PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wagmiser

0xef6278f3e13d4a516fbb14b0d7ad2649ce990179

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$659.4k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$8.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6700.675$1.5k+$10.99
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5900.595$1.3k+$11.02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9650.961$1.1k$5.13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8930.887$887.50$5.50
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8180.935$685.68+$85.68
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026? · No0.9110.935$577.02+$14.83
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9720.976$477.72+$1.87
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.9720.982$422.86+$4.16
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 4T in 2026? · No0.9400.966$336.81+$8.90
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.5T in 2026? · No0.8300.925$273.65+$28.10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8400.905$256.87+$18.45
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.870$174.00$2.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9301.000$49.98+$3.48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.5400.695$15.11+$3.37
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by August 31? · Yes0.0600.035$0.70$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 19:23Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6699999998$333.00
07-30 15:31Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.955$1.8k
07-29 23:57Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.9556626472$1.7k
07-28 18:26Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.718504$107.78
07-28 18:06Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.7699999948$80.00
07-28 18:06Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.5633416185$97.46
07-28 17:51Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.986$49.30
07-28 17:50Will Trump say "See You Soon" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.86$86.00
07-28 17:49Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.8$50.00
07-28 17:47Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.74$35.29
07-28 16:34Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.980662844$427.57
07-28 16:32Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.7568064516$117.30
07-28 16:31Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
07-27 18:18Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?SELL0.79$72.68
07-27 18:17Will Trump say "Mars" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.9299999997$30.00