Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-08-10
- Resolves by
- https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.009 | 3,156 | 3,156 |
| 0.010 | 20 | 3,176 |
| 0.011 | 10 | 3,186 |
| 0.012 | 256 | 3,442 |
| 0.018 | 100 | 3,542 |
| 0.019 | 898 | 4,440 |
| 0.030 | 897 | 5,337 |
| 0.099 | 135 | 5,472 |
| 0.100 | 200 | 5,672 |
| 0.149 | 100 | 5,772 |
| 0.150 | 40 | 5,812 |
| 0.188 | 120 | 5,932 |
Spread0.007Mid0.005
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.002 | 5 | 5 |
| 0.001 | 205 | 210 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.998 | 5 | 5 |
| 0.999 | 205 | 210 |
Spread0.007Mid0.994
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.991 | 3,156 | 3,156 |
| 0.990 | 20 | 3,176 |
| 0.989 | 10 | 3,186 |
| 0.988 | 256 | 3,442 |
| 0.982 | 100 | 3,542 |
| 0.981 | 898 | 4,440 |
| 0.970 | 897 | 5,337 |
| 0.901 | 135 | 5,472 |
| 0.900 | 200 | 5,672 |
| 0.851 | 100 | 5,772 |
| 0.850 | 40 | 5,812 |
| 0.812 | 120 | 5,932 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 3,014.45 |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 1,794.7 |
| balthazar | Yes | 1,250 |
| 0x9687…1b7c | Yes | 630 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 430.07 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | Yes | 321 |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes | 150 |
| iutwpfal | Yes | 141.94 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 131.55 |
| Mithrandir. | Yes | 130.62 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| robot58 | Yes | 100 |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| 0x055068795A1D5D307A28D74eFDeC2A68FBFBc7Ef-1777117129219 | Yes | 20 |
| 0x3537d05b6c416bC6f2B35cb2c5744DAdD82fb044-1771326076055 | Yes | 20 |
| AJSV | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| 0x4dc3…4702 | Yes | 10 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:41:23 | BUY | No | 0.992 | 20 | $19.84 |
| 21:17:15 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 17 | $16.64 |
| 20:34:06 | BUY | Yes | 0.009 | 20 | $0.18 |
| 19:42:56 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 1 | $1.04 |
| 16:15:27 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 20 | $19.98 |
| 16:15:12 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 76 | $75.98 |
| 16:15:12 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 75 | $74.93 |
| 16:15:12 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 30 | $29.97 |
| 15:16:48 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 20 | $19.98 |
| 12:58:39 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 40 | $39.96 |
| 12:58:36 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 40 | $39.96 |
| 12:58:35 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 39 | $38.99 |
| 12:58:30 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 50 | $49.96 |
| 12:58:30 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 40 | $39.96 |
| 11:01:27 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 5 | $5.00 |
| 11:01:26 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 10 | $9.99 |
| 11:01:26 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 26 | $25.47 |
| 11:01:20 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 22 | $22.11 |
| 11:01:18 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 40 | $39.96 |
| 09:04:14 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 12 | $11.99 |
| 08:41:18 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 10 | $9.99 |
| 06:30:27 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 24 | $23.75 |
| 06:30:27 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 37 | $37.13 |
| 06:30:27 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 37 | $37.11 |
| 06:30:06 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 70 | $70.30 |