Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-30
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.31 over the period, from 0.46. Range 0.14 to 0.46. 36 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	20	20
0.17	177	197
0.18	20	217
0.23	0	217
0.27	200	417
0.30	15	432
0.47	56	489
0.48	100	589
0.74	10	599
0.75	30	629
0.76	100	729
0.81	100	829

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	83	83
0.11	39	122
0.10	86	208
0.09	305	513
0.08	117	630
0.07	325	955
0.06	208	1,163
0.05	716	1,878
0.04	969	2,847
0.03	2,640	5,487
0.02	6,036	11,524
0.01	8,142	19,665

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	83	83
0.89	39	122
0.90	86	208
0.91	305	513
0.92	117	630
0.93	325	955
0.94	208	1,163
0.95	716	1,878
0.96	969	2,847
0.97	2,640	5,487
0.98	6,036	11,524
0.99	8,142	19,665

Spread0.01Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	20	20
0.83	177	197
0.82	20	217
0.77	0	217
0.73	200	417
0.70	15	432
0.53	56	489
0.52	100	589
0.26	10	599
0.25	30	629
0.24	100	729
0.19	100	829

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Oklmntrader	Yes	177.22
arbokbro	Yes	70.1
molodoyy	Yes	63.5
AJSV	Yes	30.4
tradetosurvive1	Yes	30
0x065c5A009A38374E94f6C6c1b3Bb7879594D9E6a-1767520893559	Yes	30
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	27
Icanwinthisgame	Yes	20
Penooooo	Yes	20
LornaPredicts	Yes	20
bechamel	Yes	20
GuyFromTinder	Yes	19.93
dgfd76	Yes	12.12
0x8e8208EF4D217dA3608479639dAA218a52EC30aF-1772207100223	Yes	5
0x0a069	Yes	4.35
TeenagePanda	Yes	2.98
QMG-CORE	No	287.42
StarMaster	No	200
0xfec464f25Ce66AaEb9Bd4Ecb94b7184520bCCFc8-1741783184737	No	36.11
Suet-Lam	No	16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:53:30	BUY	Yes	0.15	30	$4.50
07:57:09	BUY	Yes	0.22	20	$4.40
07:14:24	BUY	No	0.8599999597	3	$2.56
07:13:50	BUY	No	0.83	24	$20.33
07:13:41	BUY	No	0.8191313277	263	$215.37
04:49:05	BUY	Yes	0.2299998275	4	$1.00
04:05:39	BUY	Yes	0.23	5	$1.15
01:07:53	BUY	No	0.7799999813	6	$5.00
21:18:27	BUY	Yes	0.2016091954	44	$8.77
14:26:30	BUY	No	0.8299999792	2	$2.00
14:25:05	SELL	Yes	0.17	3	$0.53
14:25:03	SELL	Yes	0.19	6	$1.07
14:25:00	SELL	Yes	0.2	11	$2.25
14:24:59	SELL	Yes	0.2	17	$3.38
14:24:57	SELL	Yes	0.22	3	$0.68
14:24:56	BUY	No	0.779745	200	$155.95
11:11:57	BUY	No	0.78	3	$2.00
10:21:33	BUY	Yes	0.2599999554	15	$3.96
10:17:09	SELL	Yes	0.21	30	$6.25
10:02:30	SELL	Yes	0.2	34	$6.83
10:02:23	SELL	Yes	0.2	8	$1.54
09:53:26	SELL	Yes	0.2	8	$1.50
09:52:05	SELL	Yes	0.2	8	$1.50
08:31:18	SELL	Yes	0.21	6	$1.16
08:31:18	SELL	Yes	0.22	10	$2.20