US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.14 to 0.25. 161 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	205	205
0.21	100	305
0.22	50	355
0.24	500	855
0.29	17	872
0.30	100	972
0.31	100	1,072
0.35	200	1,272
0.40	200	1,472
0.43	100	1,572
0.45	300	1,872
0.63	60	1,932

Spread0.03Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	202	202
0.16	105	307
0.15	670	977
0.14	399	1,376
0.13	1,200	2,576
0.12	500	3,076
0.11	525	3,601
0.10	100	3,701
0.07	8	3,710
0.06	100	3,810
0.05	980	4,790
0.04	1,423	6,213

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	202	202
0.84	105	307
0.85	670	977
0.86	399	1,376
0.87	1,200	2,576
0.88	500	3,076
0.89	525	3,601
0.90	100	3,701
0.93	8	3,710
0.94	100	3,810
0.95	980	4,790
0.96	1,423	6,213

Spread0.03Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	205	205
0.79	100	305
0.78	50	355
0.76	500	855
0.71	17	872
0.70	100	972
0.69	100	1,072
0.65	200	1,272
0.60	200	1,472
0.57	100	1,572
0.55	300	1,872
0.37	60	1,932

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
molodoyy	Yes	445.4
horatio	Yes	352.51
0nk0nf0rm0d	Yes	250
arbokbro	Yes	126.69
LornaPredicts	Yes	100.23
arsvictoriae	Yes	73.42
Miguel262144	Yes	55
planktonXD	Yes	40.01
AJSV	Yes	24.12
YOSHI23	Yes	16.39
ligeiwoguolai	Yes	10
0x816e…5b62	Yes	7.14
nikzang	Yes	5
b4rbed	Yes	3.57
0x0a069	Yes	3.45
0x3fd892CCB4b959d9fc58eE28e442604CBFd2A0b5-1771686971417	Yes	3.45
VLamarca	No	425.12
TheKinginYellow	No	232.56
Drunken-Mentat	No	199.99
trerira	No	181.93

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:48:48	BUY	Yes	0.2	250	$50.00
03:32:18	BUY	No	0.8299999978	18	$15.00
18:31:21	BUY	Yes	0.19	27	$5.05
13:37:51	SELL	Yes	0.1824362514	62	$11.23
14:45:11	BUY	No	0.81	100	$81.00
16:34:51	BUY	No	0.81	50	$40.50
21:25:42	BUY	No	0.8	15	$12.00
21:15:39	SELL	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
21:15:29	BUY	No	0.789765625	5	$4.04
21:15:18	BUY	No	0.78	10	$7.80
05:15:30	BUY	Yes	0.22	20	$4.43
23:49:07	SELL	No	0.78	50	$39.00
22:35:38	SELL	No	0.784024	50	$39.20
22:09:20	BUY	Yes	0.15	100	$15.00
22:09:14	BUY	Yes	0.14	253	$35.35
16:19:24	BUY	No	0.8599999996	233	$200.00
09:30:48	SELL	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
01:23:34	BUY	No	0.8499999867	8	$6.40
21:41:45	BUY	No	0.85	10	$8.50
01:24:52	BUY	No	0.7018001659	142	$100.00
18:19:34	BUY	Yes	0.5448052775	73	$40.00
18:04:06	SELL	No	0.46	7	$3.15
17:41:25	SELL	Yes	0.2956378066	69	$20.49
16:11:07	BUY	No	0.7	7	$4.80
09:07:36	BUY	Yes	0.5799999014	3	$2.00