PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442

0x8c66e28fbe7ede7f57ba6cbc70408dff442944f3

Realised P&L
$50.0k
Volume
$5.85M
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$31.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.5370.800$5.2k+$1.7k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.3390.275$4.2k$982.66
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5410.675$3.9k+$768.52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1370.044$3.3k$7.0k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.8970.979$2.9k+$244.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1740.110$2.4k$1.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.5640.770$2.3k+$604.41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.5150.725$1.4k+$409.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0700.125$1.2k+$524.35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.4070.360$972.91$126.14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.2950.425$969.57+$295.29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.3400.535$543.25+$198.32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · No0.5730.370$481.00$263.93
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · No0.9400.980$446.30+$18.00
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4300.585$441.12+$116.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.655894951$1.7k
08-02 01:25Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7190666667$1.3k
08-01 21:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.504740025$4.0k
08-01 21:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.07$1.5k
07-30 00:34Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.9447585514$1.2k
07-29 22:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.0715100125$69.46
07-29 22:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.0482055542$114.20
07-29 22:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.035$34.96
07-29 21:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.1243144759$944.75
07-29 21:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.0975134786$526.61
07-29 21:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.0883211181$388.42
07-29 20:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.1920850714$1.3k
07-29 20:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.0955799844$368.65
07-29 20:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.0898300393$269.98
07-29 18:08Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.9339259837$1.5k