0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442
0x8c66e28fbe7ede7f57ba6cbc70408dff442944f3
- Realised P&L
- $50.0k
- Volume
- $5.85M
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $31.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.8kat 0.220Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$15.1kat 0.325US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$12.5kat 0.602US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
- +$7.1kat 0.548Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$6.1kat 0.932Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.655894951 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 01:25 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7190666667 | $1.3k |
| 08-01 21:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.504740025 | $4.0k |
| 08-01 21:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.5k |
| 07-30 00:34 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.9447585514 | $1.2k |
| 07-29 22:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.0715100125 | $69.46 |
| 07-29 22:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.0482055542 | $114.20 |
| 07-29 22:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.035 | $34.96 |
| 07-29 21:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.1243144759 | $944.75 |
| 07-29 21:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.0975134786 | $526.61 |
| 07-29 21:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.0883211181 | $388.42 |
| 07-29 20:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.1920850714 | $1.3k |
| 07-29 20:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.0955799844 | $368.65 |
| 07-29 20:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.0898300393 | $269.98 |
| 07-29 18:08 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.9339259837 | $1.5k |