China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.17 to 0.20. 163 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	105	105
0.20	429	534
0.21	440	974
0.24	5	979
0.26	200	1,179
0.27	97	1,276
0.34	100	1,376
0.49	87	1,463
0.50	5	1,468
0.67	1,939	3,407
0.71	2,759	6,166
0.75	3,200	9,366

Spread0.01Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	20	20
0.17	1,197	1,217
0.16	1,635	2,852
0.15	500	3,352
0.12	969	4,320
0.10	51	4,371
0.06	11	4,382
0.05	254	4,636
0.04	450	5,086
0.03	759	5,845
0.02	1,375	7,220
0.01	13,008	20,228

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	20	20
0.83	1,197	1,217
0.84	1,635	2,852
0.85	500	3,352
0.88	969	4,320
0.90	51	4,371
0.94	11	4,382
0.95	254	4,636
0.96	450	5,086
0.97	759	5,845
0.98	1,375	7,220
0.99	13,008	20,228

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	105	105
0.80	429	534
0.79	440	974
0.76	5	979
0.74	200	1,179
0.73	97	1,276
0.66	100	1,376
0.51	87	1,463
0.50	5	1,468
0.33	1,939	3,407
0.29	2,759	6,166
0.25	3,200	9,366

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TheKinginYellow	Yes	500
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	410.1
jiudubishu	Yes	300
LornaPredicts	Yes	151.43
BloodyMummer	Yes	137.07
Haradwaith	Yes	108.36
melonmanm	Yes	108
fnjadefy	Yes	87.13
0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815	Yes	84.25
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	55.56
Dr.PNL	Yes	50
bechamel	Yes	50
0xf0f5…72bc	Yes	48
g941ax6g1xpk	Yes	43.83
planktonXD	Yes	43.27
TRHU	Yes	40
jiangnannn	Yes	40
xjsljfi	Yes	25
cd30gfu530p0	Yes	23.78
bsdgddddx	Yes	20.8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:47:41	BUY	No	0.81	5	$4.05
13:49:35	BUY	Yes	0.2	20	$4.00
12:47:09	BUY	Yes	0.1899999673	21	$3.95
23:04:54	SELL	No	0.81	5	$4.05
16:23:36	BUY	Yes	0.1899998784	5	$1.00
14:10:14	SELL	No	0.81	20	$16.20
14:07:03	SELL	No	0.8	20	$16.00
14:06:45	SELL	No	0.809565	100	$80.96
14:06:44	SELL	No	0.81	20	$16.20
14:06:42	BUY	Yes	0.18	410	$73.82
02:31:37	SELL	No	0.82	10	$8.20
22:09:13	SELL	Yes	0.17	6	$1.08
12:52:22	BUY	Yes	0.179999987	56	$10.00
12:52:22	BUY	Yes	0.1799999714	24	$4.28
12:52:22	BUY	Yes	0.1799999827	44	$7.89
12:52:21	SELL	Yes	0.16	137	$21.93
00:41:00	SELL	Yes	0.17	83	$14.11
00:40:28	SELL	Yes	0.17	50	$8.50
00:40:25	SELL	Yes	0.1837786511	758	$139.35
23:38:55	SELL	Yes	0.19	50	$9.50
23:38:52	SELL	Yes	0.19	50	$9.50
15:57:40	SELL	Yes	0.18	11	$1.92
01:34:58	SELL	No	0.82	12	$9.46
01:34:45	SELL	No	0.82	120	$98.40
22:46:39	BUY	Yes	0.179999958	17	$3.00